November video game software sales will be $1.4
billion, up seven percent, according to a
forecast from Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael
Pachter.
“November includes only two days of sales post-
Thanksgiving, compared to nine days of sales last
year, so the gift-giving bump for software and
hardware sell-through should be lower year-over-
year,” Pachter said.
Gears of War 2 was likely a big seller in
November, with the title pushing 300 million
copies sold.
“Microsoft’s Gears of War 2 likely sold as many
as 3 million units during the month, resulting in
over $180 million in sales of that game alone,
compared to Microsoft’s overall sales of just $62
million last November.”
“Similarly, we think that strong Wii hardware
sales and better supply of Wii Fit likely
resulted in Nintendo sales of $120 million
combined for Wii Play and Wii Fit, compared to
just $28 million in sales last year.”
“Bethesda announced in November that its Fallout
3 had sold 4.7 million units, although October
NPD results showed that only 510,000 units had
sold through in the U.S. that month. While it is
possible that sales of the game were somewhat
higher in Europe, we expect to see as many as 1.5
million units (around $90 million) in November,
allowing Bethesda to capture significant share
during the month.”
“Thus, although we estimated that the publishers
we cover had relatively flat year-over-year
sales, we expect Microsoft and Bethesda to
account for the bulk of the November sales
gains,” he said.
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